This is an excellent deep dive on AI’s potential and the resulting jobs disruption that will follow - and why you should be adapting in response now.

The pace of AI development and proliferation seems to be increasing exponentially every 30 or 60 days now. I only expect that to increase. I’ve never waded into debates about timelines for AGI, despite tracking those conversations for many years, but it’s now clear that we’ve hit a tipping point where realistic debate about near-term potential can be had. This video does a good job illustrating the current state and how the debate is changing.

In my opinion the question is irrelevant if you view AGI as the starting point of massive disruption and the transformation of virtually every human endeavor. We have models that will drive that change now. Relatively few people deeply realize that fact at the moment but it will be an inescapable reality, personal not abstract, for nearly all before the end of 2024 - if not sooner. And when, or if, a universally agreed upon realization of AGI happens we will already be consumed by the changes that are about to overtake everything. Most of us would be better served by skipping the debate and preparing for the immediate future.

Tom Scott on the moment where he finally understood the power and implications of AI - and the existential crisis that followed.

“As the United States and its allies cope with the current Putin regime and think about what might eventually follow it, they would do well to remember the old adage that Russia is never as strong as it looks or as weak as it looks”.